La escuela de los momios

Salford City v Walsall

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Predicción 46.72%2.14momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.47%46.78%46.81%49.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.962.002.0753.48%50.89%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 25.22%3.97momio equitativo
EV -0.378%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.128%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%25.23%25.18%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.733.803.9530.30%26.81%26.32%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.427%
Kelly -0.596%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%27.99%28.01%30.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.30%30.30%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.02%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -1.50%E -0.427%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -16.77%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 19:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -6.10%E -3.04%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -9.64%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:20
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:15
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -15.51%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -16.77%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -19.18%E -6.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -2.90%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -10.77%E -5.64%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.82%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -12.17%E -6.48%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55%0.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-10 19:40