L’École des cotes

Salford City v Walsall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 46.72%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.47%46.78%46.81%49.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.962.002.0753.48%50.89%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.22%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.378%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.128%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%25.23%25.18%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.803.9530.30%26.81%26.32%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.427%
Kelly -0.596%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.14%27.99%28.01%30.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.30%30.30%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.02%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -1.50%E -0.427%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -16.77%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 19:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -6.10%E -3.04%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -9.64%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:20
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:15
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:15
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.58%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -15.51%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -16.77%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -19.18%E -6.66%K -10.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -2.90%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.79%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.90%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -10.77%E -5.64%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.82%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.19%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -12.17%E -6.48%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -0.378%E -0.096%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -12.64%E -6.76%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -1.64%E -0.420%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55%0.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-10 19:40