Language:English
Salford City v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 50.84%1.97fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.55%50.84%50.75%53.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.8858.14%54.78%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 23.24%4.30fair odd
EV +0.650%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.60%23.20%23.23%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.953.924.3327.40%25.35%25.48%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.92%3.86fair odd
EV -0.217%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%25.95%26.02%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.8530.77%28.47%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 50.84%; Port Vale (Visit): 23.24%; Draw: 25.92%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.650%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV +0.650%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV +0.650%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.56%E -7.30%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.50%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.10%EV -6.09%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.77%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.62%EV -6.79%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -0.217%E -0.056%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -5.44%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.58%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.58%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |