Idioma:Español
Salford City v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Salford City (Local)
Predicción 50.84%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -5.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.55%50.84%50.75%53.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.831.8858.14%54.78%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 23.24%4.30momio equitativo
EV +0.650%
Ventaja +0.150%
Kelly +0.195%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.60%23.20%23.23%24.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.953.924.3327.40%25.35%25.48%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.217%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%25.95%26.02%27.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.513.503.8530.77%28.47%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Salford City (Local): 50.84%; Port Vale (Visitante): 23.24%; Empate: 25.92%. Para Port Vale (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.30. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.650%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV +0.650%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV +0.650%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.56%E -7.30%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.50%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.10%EV -6.09%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.77%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.62%EV -6.79%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -0.217%E -0.056%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -5.44%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.58%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.58%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |