语言:简体中文
Salford City v Port Vale
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Salford City (主队)
预测 50.84%1.97公平赔率
EV -4.43%
优势 -2.35%
Kelly -5.03%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.88
博彩公司预测分布
48.55%50.84%50.75%53.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.831.831.8858.14%54.78%54.64%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
Port Vale (客队)
预测 23.24%4.30公平赔率
EV +0.650%
优势 +0.150%
Kelly +0.195%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.33
博彩公司预测分布
21.60%23.20%23.23%24.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.653.953.924.3327.40%25.35%25.48%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.92%3.86公平赔率
EV -0.217%
优势 -0.056%
Kelly -0.076%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.85
博彩公司预测分布
24.26%25.95%26.02%27.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.513.503.8530.77%28.47%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Salford City (主队)：50.84%；Port Vale (客队)：23.24%；平局：25.92%。 对于“Port Vale (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.33，对应+0.650%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV +0.650%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV +0.650%E +0.150%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.81%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.56%E -7.30%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.37%E -0.565%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.50%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.10%EV -6.09%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.66%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.77%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.62%EV -6.79%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -0.217%E -0.056%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.51%E -0.398%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.03%E -6.31%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-02 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -5.44%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -14.47%E -4.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.58%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.58%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.77%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |