Language:English
Salford City v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 31.43%3.18fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.57%31.55%31.46%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.903.1137.74%34.87%34.48%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 40.06%2.50fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.77%39.96%40.03%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.302.4344.44%42.84%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV -0.244%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%28.49%28.51%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 31.43%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 40.06%; Draw: 28.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.244%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%EV -2.24%E -0.720%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.26%EV -7.08%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.25%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -7.05%E -3.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 06:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 01:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 09:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 21:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -0.244%E -0.070%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.78%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 09:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-27 08:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |