La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Salford City v Milton Keynes Dons
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Salford City (Local)
Predicción 31.43%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.720%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%31.55%31.46%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.903.1137.74%34.87%34.48%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)
Predicción 40.06%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.77%39.96%40.03%41.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.332.302.4344.44%42.84%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.50%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.244%
Ventaja -0.070%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.52%28.49%28.51%29.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%EV -2.24%E -0.720%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.26%EV -7.08%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.25%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -7.05%E -3.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 06:23 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 06:25 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 01:53 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 09:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 06:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 21:29 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -0.244%E -0.070%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.78%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 09:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 09:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:40 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-27 08:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-24 09:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 22:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |