L’École des cotes

Salford City v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 31.43%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.720%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.57%31.55%31.46%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.903.1137.74%34.87%34.48%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.06%2.50cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.77%39.96%40.03%41.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.332.302.4344.44%42.84%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.50%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.244%
Avantage -0.070%
Kelly -0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.52%28.49%28.51%29.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 30.67%EV -2.24%E -0.720%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.26%EV -7.08%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 03:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -5.05%E -2.13%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 06:25
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.52%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 15:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:34
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 06:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 06:24
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -6.25%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:55
LowVig.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 01:55
BetOnline.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.15%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 01:55
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -7.05%E -3.04%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 21:30
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:45
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -4.65%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 00:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 06:23
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 06:25
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-28 01:53
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-28 01:55
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 09:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.09%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 09:50
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 09:49
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 06:24
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 09:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 06:24
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 06:24
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 06:24
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 06:24
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 22:45
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -11.64%E -3.76%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 21:29
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -13.07%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -0.244%E -0.070%K -0.097%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 15:30
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.78%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 09:50
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 09:49
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 00:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -9.86%E -4.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-27 08:34
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 09:39
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -16.70%E -6.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -3.85%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.37%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 09:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-03-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-03-27 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-03-27 22:30
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-03-28 00:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-03-28 00:35