Language:English
Salford City v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.08%60.81%60.97%62.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.23%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 16.39%6.10fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.368%
Kelly +0.439%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 6.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.97%16.52%16.39%18.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.475.506.2420.00%18.27%18.18%16.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -0.982%
Edge -0.225%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%22.67%22.64%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.014.004.3727.78%24.92%25.00%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 60.95%; Gillingham (Visit): 16.39%; Draw: 22.66%. For Gillingham (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 14.97%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.439%G +0.010% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -2.57%E -0.597%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.70%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -0.982%E -0.225%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.70%EV -9.01%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -18.43%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.93%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.93%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -3.70%E -2.34%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |