L’École des cotes

Salford City v Gillingham

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Salford City 0–0 Gillingham

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 60.95%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -6.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.08%60.81%60.97%62.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.23%65.36%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gillingham (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.39%6.10cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.368%
Kelly +0.439%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 6.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.97%16.52%16.39%18.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.475.506.2420.00%18.27%18.18%16.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.66%4.41cote équitable
EV -0.982%
Avantage -0.225%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%22.67%22.64%24.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.004.3727.78%24.92%25.00%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 14.97%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.439%G +0.010%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -2.57%E -0.597%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:54
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:15
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:50
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:20
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:14
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:14
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:15
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:15
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.70%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -0.982%E -0.225%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:14
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.70%EV -9.01%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:14
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:19
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -18.43%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.93%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.93%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -3.70%E -2.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 20:15
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 20:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-11 13:55