A Escola das Odds

Salford City v Gillingham

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Salford City 0–0 Gillingham

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Previsão 60.95%1.64odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -6.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.08%60.81%60.97%62.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.23%65.36%63.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gillingham (Visitante)

Previsão 16.39%6.10odd justa
EV +2.30%
Vantagem +0.368%
Kelly +0.439%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.97%16.52%16.39%18.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.475.506.2420.00%18.27%18.18%16.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.66%4.41odd justa
EV -0.982%
Vantagem -0.225%
Kelly -0.291%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.74%22.67%22.64%24.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.014.004.3727.78%24.92%25.00%22.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 14.97%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.439%G +0.010%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -2.57%E -0.597%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:54
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:15
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:50
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 15:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:20
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:14
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.64%E -0.273%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:14
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:15
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -7.97%E -5.28%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -5.73%E -0.997%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:15
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.70%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.55%EV -5.90%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -0.982%E -0.225%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:14
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -9.19%E -6.17%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -8.19%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.70%EV -9.01%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.14%E -3.99%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:14
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:19
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.41%E -7.08%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -12.24%E -8.50%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -9.83%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -18.43%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -11.47%E -2.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -13.93%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.93%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -3.70%E -2.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -16.39%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 20:15
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 20:15
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -4.31%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 20:15
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -4.92%E -3.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -12.76%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 20:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -18.03%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 13:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-04-11 13:55