Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.71
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 35.42%; Barnet (Visit): 36.68%; Draw: 27.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.21%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98%EV -5.36%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 12:16 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -6.49%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.40%EV -5.72%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.39%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 11:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.66%E -6.83%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 15:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |