L’École des cotes

Salford City v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 35.42%2.82cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%35.53%35.39%36.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.582.602.7140.32%38.83%38.46%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.68%2.73cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.56%36.69%37.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.552.6541.67%39.14%39.22%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -0.947%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.06%27.91%27.92%29.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.55%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.21%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98%EV -5.36%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:19
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 12:19
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 12:16
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -6.49%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.40%EV -5.72%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.39%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:18
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:09
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 11:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 11:54
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:20
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:19
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 12:09
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:19
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:19
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:19
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:20
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 11:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 11:54
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 12:20
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.66%E -6.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 12:09
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.5%2026-03-07 12:20