La escuela de los momios

Salford City v Barnet

Inicio: 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Predicción 35.42%2.82momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%35.53%35.39%36.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.582.602.7140.32%38.83%38.46%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnet (Visitante)

Predicción 36.68%2.73momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.56%36.69%37.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.6541.67%39.14%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.947%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%27.91%27.92%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.55%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.21%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98%EV -5.36%E -2.08%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.32%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.56%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:19
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 12:19
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 12:16
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -6.49%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.40%EV -5.72%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.39%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -9.06%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 12:18
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:09
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.42%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 12:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.19%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 11:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 11:54
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:20
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 12:19
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 12:09
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:19
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:19
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:19
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:20
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.46%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 11:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.29%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 11:54
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.13%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 12:20
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 15:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.74%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.44%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.96%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -19.66%E -6.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 12:09
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -12.15%E -4.90%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-07 12:20
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.91%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-03-07 12:20
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.5%2026-03-07 12:20