语言:简体中文
Port Vale v Crewe Alexandra
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Port Vale (主队)
预测 41.60%2.40公平赔率
EV -4.33%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -3.33%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
40.38%41.62%41.60%42.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.222.202.3047.62%45.11%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Crewe Alexandra (客队)
预测 30.30%3.30公平赔率
EV -1.82%
优势 -0.562%
Kelly -0.813%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.24
博彩公司预测分布
29.03%30.30%30.25%31.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.033.023.2435.09%32.98%33.06%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.10%3.56公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.53%28.08%28.15%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.06%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Port Vale (主队)：41.60%；Crewe Alexandra (客队)：30.30%；平局：28.10%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.50，期望值为-1.64%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.65%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -1.82%E -0.562%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 11:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 03:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 11:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 03:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 03:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -6.83%E -3.05%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -9.23%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.24%E -3.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.46%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 02:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 05:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 05:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 06:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 06:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 06:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 06:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 06:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 03:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.62%EV -8.91%E -4.07%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 03:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.12%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 03:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-25 05:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -11.82%E -5.57%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-25 05:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 05:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |