Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Port Vale v Crewe Alexandra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 11:30 UTC

Score final : Port Vale 0–0 Crewe Alexandra

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Port Vale (Local)

Prévision 41.60%2.40cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.38%41.62%41.60%42.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.202.3047.62%45.11%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.30%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.03%30.30%30.25%31.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.033.023.2435.09%32.98%33.06%30.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.10%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.53%28.08%28.15%29.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.06%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Port Vale (Local) : 41.60% ; Crewe Alexandra (Visiteur) : 30.30% ; Match nul : 28.10%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.56. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.64% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:05
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.65%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -1.82%E -0.562%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 11:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 03:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:13
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:09
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 03:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 03:20
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -6.83%E -3.05%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -9.23%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.24%E -3.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.46%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:04
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 02:44
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 05:59
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 05:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:04
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:14
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 03:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:10
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.62%EV -8.91%E -4.07%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 03:25
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.12%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 03:25
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-25 05:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -11.82%E -5.57%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 05:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 05:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 05:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-29 11:25
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25