Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Port Vale v Crewe Alexandra

Início: 2026-08-29 11:30 UTC

Final: Port Vale 0–0 Crewe Alexandra

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Port Vale (Local)

Previsão 41.60%2.40odd justa
EV -4.33%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.38%41.62%41.60%42.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.202.3047.62%45.11%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Previsão 30.30%3.30odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.562%
Kelly -0.813%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.03%30.30%30.25%31.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.033.023.2435.09%32.98%33.06%30.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.10%3.56odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%28.08%28.15%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.06%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Port Vale (Local): 41.60%; Crewe Alexandra (Visitante): 30.30%; Empate: 28.10%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.56. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -1.64%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.33%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:05
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.65%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -1.82%E -0.562%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 11:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -5.99%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 03:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.55%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 11:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:13
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:09
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 03:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 03:20
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -6.83%E -3.05%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -9.23%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -7.24%E -3.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.46%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:04
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:10
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 11:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 02:44
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 05:59
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 05:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:04
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:14
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 06:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 03:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:10
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 11:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.62%EV -8.91%E -4.07%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.58%E -2.48%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.09%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 03:25
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.12%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 03:25
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-25 05:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -11.82%E -5.57%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 05:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 05:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 05:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-29 11:25
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-08-29 11:25