Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 39.90%2.51fair odd
EV +3.74%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.19%39.71%39.81%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.322.6044.44%42.50%43.10%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 31.07%3.22fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -0.839%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.29%31.21%34.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1637.04%34.24%34.48%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.03%3.45fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%29.00%28.98%30.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.173.173.4033.90%31.51%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 39.90%; Port Vale (Visit): 31.07%; Draw: 29.03%. For Oldham Athletic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +3.74%E +1.44%K +2.34%G +0.087% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -14.37%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -14.37%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.44%E -2.29%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.44%E -2.29%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.20%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -7.03%E -3.02%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -5.85%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.24%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.08%EV -7.83%E -3.39%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.25%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 11:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 11:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.63%E -3.77%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.34% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |