La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Port Vale

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 39.68%2.52momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -3.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.49%39.61%39.74%40.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.312.302.4044.44%43.27%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Port Vale (Visitante)

Predicción 32.06%3.12momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.55%32.15%32.06%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.862.853.0036.36%34.98%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%28.24%28.20%28.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.243.253.4032.26%30.86%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.76%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 15:43
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.76%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.78%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 18:25
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.76%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.76%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 15:50
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 07:50
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -6.38%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 03:14
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -6.38%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 03:15
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 18:04
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.56%E -2.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 23:39
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.35%E -2.69%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.32%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 10:10
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:44
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.57%EV -7.14%E -3.05%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 03:50
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 10:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 16:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 12:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-07 09:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-07 09:53
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 08:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 08:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 18:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.73%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 12:00
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.19%EV -10.32%E -4.57%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:30
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:29
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:29
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:29
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:29
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.62%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 13:49
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-07 09:54
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.40%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-30 06:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 39.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%12.8%2026-07-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-07 13:25