Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic v Port Vale

Início: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 2–0 Port Vale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Previsão 39.90%2.51odd justa
EV +3.74%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +2.34%
Crescimento +0.087%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.19%39.71%39.81%40.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.352.322.6044.44%42.50%43.10%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Port Vale (Visitante)

Previsão 31.07%3.22odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.573%
Kelly -0.839%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.61%31.29%31.21%34.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.922.903.1637.04%34.24%34.48%31.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.03%3.45odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.385%
Kelly -0.545%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.72%29.00%28.98%30.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.173.173.4033.90%31.51%31.50%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oldham Athletic (Local): 39.90%; Port Vale (Visitante): 31.07%; Empate: 29.03%. Para Oldham Athletic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.51. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV +3.74%E +1.44%K +2.34%G +0.087%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 11:30
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -1.05%E -0.422%K -0.707%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 11:04
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:08
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -14.37%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -16.10%E -5.96%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -14.37%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 11:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.44%E -2.29%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.44%E -2.29%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:04
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.61%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.20%EV -1.81%E -0.573%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -1.31%E -0.385%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:09
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:09
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 11:05
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:05
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -7.03%E -3.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -5.85%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.24%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:19
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.08%EV -7.83%E -3.39%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.25%EV -4.92%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -9.44%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 11:18
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:20
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 11:08
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:09
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.63%E -3.77%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.89%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-08-15 11:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-08-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-08-15 11:09
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.34%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-08-15 11:25