Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic v Notts County

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 19:47 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 34.39%2.91fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.48%34.37%35.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8240.00%37.28%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Visit)

Prediction 36.18%2.76fair odd
EV -0.856%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.492%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.74%36.13%36.17%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.552.7440.82%39.25%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.38%29.46%30.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.103.3034.72%31.95%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 34.39%; Notts County (Visit): 36.18%; Draw: 29.42%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -0.856%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.01%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.36%EV -1.58%E -0.581%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.01%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.36%EV -1.58%E -0.581%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -6.11%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -0.856%E -0.312%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.14%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Coolbet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -6.45%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 19:44
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -8.49%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 19:44
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:44
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.26%E -4.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.26%E -4.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -7.83%E -2.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.85%EV -8.51%E -3.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:45
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-24 19:45
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-24 19:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 19:44
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.89%E -3.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-24 19:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 19:44
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -15.26%E -5.30%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.1%2026-03-24 19:44