La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Notts County

Inicio: 2026-03-24 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 34.39%2.91momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%34.48%34.37%35.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.8240.00%37.28%37.04%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Notts County (Visitante)

Predicción 36.18%2.76momio equitativo
EV -0.856%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.492%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.74%36.13%36.17%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.552.552.7440.82%39.25%39.22%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.42%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.15%29.38%29.46%30.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.103.3034.72%31.95%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.01%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.36%EV -1.58%E -0.581%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:44
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.01%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.36%EV -1.58%E -0.581%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -6.11%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -0.856%E -0.312%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.14%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Coolbet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -6.45%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 19:44
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -8.49%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 19:45
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 19:44
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:44
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:45
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.26%E -4.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:45
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.26%E -4.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:45
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -7.83%E -2.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 19:44
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 34.85%EV -8.51%E -3.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:44
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:45
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-24 19:45
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-24 19:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 19:44
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.89%E -3.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-24 19:45
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 19:44
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -15.26%E -5.30%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.1%2026-03-24 19:44