Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic v Notts County

Início: 2026-03-24 19:47 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Previsão 34.39%2.91odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%34.48%34.37%35.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.702.8240.00%37.28%37.04%35.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Notts County (Visitante)

Previsão 36.18%2.76odd justa
EV -0.856%
Vantagem -0.312%
Kelly -0.492%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.74%36.13%36.17%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.552.552.7440.82%39.25%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.42%3.40odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -0.880%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%29.38%29.46%30.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.133.103.3034.72%31.95%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oldham Athletic (Local): 34.39%; Notts County (Visitante): 36.18%; Empate: 29.42%. Para Notts County (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.76. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.74, com valor esperado de -0.856%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.01%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.36%EV -1.58%E -0.581%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.01%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.36%EV -1.58%E -0.581%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -6.11%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -0.856%E -0.312%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.14%EV -6.73%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Coolbet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -6.45%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 19:44
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -6.79%E -2.51%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.03%EV -8.49%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 19:44
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:44
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:44
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.26%E -4.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -10.26%E -4.14%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 19:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -7.83%E -2.92%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.85%EV -8.51%E -3.20%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-24 19:44
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-24 19:45
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-24 19:45
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-24 19:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -9.55%E -3.63%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 19:44
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.89%E -3.77%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-24 19:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 19:44
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 19:44
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.58%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -5.92%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -14.02%E -5.61%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -15.26%E -5.30%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-24 19:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-03-24 19:45
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.1%2026-03-24 19:44