La scuola delle quote

Notts County v Newport County

Inizio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Notts County (Casa)

Previsione 60.14%1.66quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -2.36%
Kelly -6.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.90%60.18%60.05%63.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.521.531.6069.44%65.67%65.36%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newport County (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.59%6.03quota equa
EV +6.16%
Vantaggio +0.963%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.070%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.34%16.49%16.67%18.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.785.756.4020.00%17.31%17.39%15.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.28%4.30quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -0.534%
Kelly -0.702%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.18%23.33%23.28%24.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.014.004.2027.03%24.97%25.00%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -12.20%E -8.36%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 06:59
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:00
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -13.40%E -9.31%K -30.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 07:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:49
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.27%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:24
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.61%EV -6.94%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.01%EV -7.27%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -2.94%E -0.706%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 09:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:25
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.31%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%3.2%2026-04-06 13:35