L’École des cotes

Notts County v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 60.14%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -6.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.90%60.18%60.05%63.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.531.6069.44%65.67%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.59%6.03cote équitable
EV +6.16%
Avantage +0.963%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.34%16.49%16.67%18.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.785.756.4020.00%17.31%17.39%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.28%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.702%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.33%23.28%24.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.014.004.2027.03%24.97%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -12.20%E -8.36%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 06:59
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:00
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -13.40%E -9.31%K -30.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 07:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:49
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.27%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:24
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.61%EV -6.94%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.01%EV -7.27%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -2.94%E -0.706%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 09:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:25
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.31%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%3.2%2026-04-06 13:35