مدرسة الاحتمالات

Notts County v Newport County

البداية: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Notts County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.14%1.66السعر العادل
EV -3.78%
الأفضلية -2.36%
Kelly -6.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.90%60.18%60.05%63.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.521.531.6069.44%65.67%65.36%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Newport County (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.59%6.03السعر العادل
EV +6.16%
الأفضلية +0.963%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.070%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.34%16.49%16.67%18.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.785.756.4020.00%17.31%17.39%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.28%4.30السعر العادل
EV -2.24%
الأفضلية -0.534%
Kelly -0.702%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.18%23.33%23.28%24.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.014.004.2027.03%24.97%25.00%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -12.20%E -8.36%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 06:59
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:00
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -13.40%E -9.31%K -30.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 07:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:49
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:25
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:25
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.27%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:24
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.61%EV -6.94%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.01%EV -7.27%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -2.94%E -0.706%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 09:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:24
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:25
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:25
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.31%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%3.2%2026-04-06 13:35