La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Notts County v Newport County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 60.14%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -6.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.90%60.18%60.05%63.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.531.6069.44%65.67%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newport County (Visitante)
Predicción 16.59%6.03momio equitativo
EV +6.16%
Ventaja +0.963%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.070%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.34%16.49%16.67%18.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.785.756.4020.00%17.31%17.39%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.28%4.30momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.702%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.33%23.28%24.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.014.004.2027.03%24.97%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -12.20%E -8.36%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 06:59 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +6.16%E +0.963%K +1.14%G +0.070% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -12.80%E -8.83%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -13.40%E -9.31%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +3.68%E +0.588%K +0.700%G +0.026% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -0.472%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.79%E -0.653%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.27%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.62%E -0.803%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.18%EV -3.78%E -2.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.89%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -5.45%E -0.956%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.61%EV -6.94%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.18%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.01%EV -7.27%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -2.94%E -0.706%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.19%E -3.97%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.57%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 09:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.24%E -0.534%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:24 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.79%E -6.53%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.90%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -4.98%E -3.15%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.39%E -4.80%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -8.59%E -5.65%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -10.42%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:25 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -7.99%E -5.22%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -6.79%E -4.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.23%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.59%E -3.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.31% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |