Language:English
Northampton Town v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northampton Town (Local)
Prediction 53.90%1.86fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.13%53.92%53.93%55.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.721.8059.88%57.87%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 20.18%4.96fair odd
EV +0.302%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%20.13%20.22%22.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.514.504.9723.81%22.18%22.22%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.92%3.86fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%25.95%25.84%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.533.503.8029.85%28.35%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 53.90%; Newport County (Visit): 20.18%; Draw: 25.92%. For Newport County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.302%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.66%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.04%EV +0.302%E +0.061%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.30%EV -3.07%E -0.822%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -0.102%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.81%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.94%EV -0.707%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -1.11%E -0.227%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -1.11%E -0.227%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.52%E -0.400%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.81%E -0.751%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 21:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 05:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.59%E -2.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.52%E -0.400%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -8.90%E -5.27%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -4.59%E -2.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 03:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |