语言:简体中文
Northampton Town v Newport County
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Northampton Town (主队)
预测 53.90%1.86公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -3.72%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
52.13%53.92%53.93%55.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.731.721.8059.88%57.87%58.14%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
Newport County (客队)
预测 20.18%4.96公平赔率
EV +0.302%
优势 +0.061%
Kelly +0.076%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.97
博彩公司预测分布
18.72%20.13%20.22%22.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.514.504.9723.81%22.18%22.22%20.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.92%3.86公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.400%
Kelly -0.542%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.80
博彩公司预测分布
24.78%25.95%25.84%27.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.533.503.8029.85%28.35%28.57%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Northampton Town (主队)：53.90%；Newport County (客队)：20.18%；平局：25.92%。 对于“Newport County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.97，对应+0.302%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.66%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.04%EV +0.302%E +0.061%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.30%EV -3.07%E -0.822%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -0.102%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.81%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.94%EV -0.707%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -1.11%E -0.227%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -1.11%E -0.227%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.52%E -0.400%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.81%E -0.751%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 21:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 05:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.59%E -2.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.52%E -0.400%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -8.90%E -5.27%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -4.59%E -2.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 03:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |