Idioma:Español
Northampton Town v Newport County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Northampton Town (Local)
Predicción 53.90%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.13%53.92%53.93%55.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.721.8059.88%57.87%58.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Newport County (Visitante)
Predicción 20.18%4.96momio equitativo
EV +0.302%
Ventaja +0.061%
Kelly +0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.72%20.13%20.22%22.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.514.504.9723.81%22.18%22.22%20.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.542%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%25.95%25.84%27.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.533.503.8029.85%28.35%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Northampton Town (Local): 53.90%; Newport County (Visitante): 20.18%; Empate: 25.92%. Para Newport County (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.96. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.97, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.302%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.66%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.04%EV +0.302%E +0.061%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.30%EV -3.07%E -0.822%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -0.102%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.81%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.94%EV -0.707%E -0.144%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -1.11%E -0.227%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -1.11%E -0.227%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.652%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.52%E -0.400%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.14%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.81%E -0.751%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.98%E -5.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.15%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 21:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 05:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.17%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -4.59%E -2.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.18%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.52%E -0.400%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -8.90%E -5.27%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.20%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -12.21%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.11%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -4.59%E -2.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -12.61%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.61%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.37%E -4.92%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -13.22%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.62%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.23%E -3.35%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -13.18%E -3.93%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 03:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.05%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -15.24%E -3.63%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.70%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 03:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |