Language:English
Newport County v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 37.65%2.66fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.28%37.65%37.66%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.482.5943.48%40.53%40.32%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.465%
Kelly +0.697%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.10%33.75%33.72%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.703.0038.46%36.89%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%28.60%28.62%30.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.81%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 37.65%; Crawley Town (Visit): 33.80%; Draw: 28.56%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV +1.39%E +0.465%K +0.697%G +0.010% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV +1.39%E +0.465%K +0.697%G +0.010% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -2.49%E -0.963%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -1.99%E -0.685%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -3.68%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.43%EV -6.38%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -10.91%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -12.28%E -5.27%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.45%E -4.37%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -17.76%E -6.17%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |