La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Newport County v Crawley Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newport County (Local)
Predicción 37.65%2.66momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.963%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.28%37.65%37.66%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.482.5943.48%40.53%40.32%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Crawley Town (Visitante)
Predicción 33.80%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.465%
Kelly +0.697%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.10%33.75%33.72%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.712.703.0038.46%36.89%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%28.60%28.62%30.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.81%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV +1.39%E +0.465%K +0.697%G +0.010% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV +1.39%E +0.465%K +0.697%G +0.010% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -2.49%E -0.963%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -1.99%E -0.685%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -3.68%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.43%EV -6.38%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -10.91%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -12.28%E -5.27%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 12:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.45%E -4.37%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -17.76%E -6.17%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |