مدرسة الاحتمالات

Newport County v Crawley Town

البداية: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Newport County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.65%2.66السعر العادل
EV -2.49%
الأفضلية -0.963%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.28%37.65%37.66%38.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.472.482.5943.48%40.53%40.32%38.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Crawley Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.80%2.96السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.465%
Kelly +0.697%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.10%33.75%33.72%35.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.712.703.0038.46%36.89%37.04%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.56%3.50السعر العادل
EV -2.91%
الأفضلية -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.06%28.60%28.62%30.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.253.303.4034.72%30.81%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV +1.39%E +0.465%K +0.697%G +0.010%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:40
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.87%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV +1.39%E +0.465%K +0.697%G +0.010%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -2.49%E -0.963%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -1.99%E -0.685%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -5.13%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.66%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -12.91%E -4.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -3.68%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.43%EV -6.38%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -10.91%E -3.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:54
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:04
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:44
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:55
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.41%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 12:25
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:45
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -12.28%E -5.27%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.75%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 21:25
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 12:25
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.88%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 12:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:54
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:25
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:25
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -6.64%E -2.68%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -11.11%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:24
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -13.41%E -5.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.45%E -4.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 13:55
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -2.91%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 00:24
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.77%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -9.65%E -4.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.13%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -17.76%E -6.17%K -9.45%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-03 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55