Language:English
Newport County v Cambridge United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 17.07%5.86fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.202%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.85%17.11%17.00%18.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.345.255.8020.62%18.74%19.05%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cambridge United (Visit)
Prediction 58.04%1.72fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -8.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.94%58.14%59.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6365.36%62.53%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV -0.453%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.151%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.39%24.95%24.85%25.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.654.0028.57%27.14%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 17.07%; Cambridge United (Visit): 58.04%; Draw: 24.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.453%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -0.969%E -0.167%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -2.33%E -0.408%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -8.42%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -2.68%E -0.469%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -0.453%E -0.113%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -11.20%E -7.32%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -6.94%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.25%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.33%EV -17.19%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.27%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |