L’École des cotesFrançais
Newport County v Cambridge United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Newport County (Local)
Prévision 17.07%5.86cote équitable
EV -0.969%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.202%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.85%17.11%17.00%18.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.855.345.255.8020.62%18.74%19.05%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cambridge United (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.04%1.72cote équitable
EV -5.40%
Avantage -3.31%
Kelly -8.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%57.94%58.14%59.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6365.36%62.53%62.50%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.453%
Avantage -0.113%
Kelly -0.151%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%24.95%24.85%25.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.683.654.0028.57%27.14%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -0.969%E -0.167%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| 1xBet | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -2.33%E -0.408%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -8.42%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -2.68%E -0.469%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -0.453%E -0.113%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -11.20%E -7.32%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -6.94%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.25%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Everygame | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.33%EV -17.19%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.27%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |