Idioma:Español
Newport County v Cambridge United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newport County (Local)
Predicción 17.07%5.86momio equitativo
EV -0.969%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.202%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.85%17.11%17.00%18.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.855.345.255.8020.62%18.74%19.05%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cambridge United (Visitante)
Predicción 58.04%1.72momio equitativo
EV -5.40%
Ventaja -3.31%
Kelly -8.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%57.94%58.14%59.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6365.36%62.53%62.50%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.89%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.453%
Ventaja -0.113%
Kelly -0.151%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.39%24.95%24.85%25.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.683.654.0028.57%27.14%27.40%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Newport County (Local): 17.07%; Cambridge United (Visitante): 58.04%; Empate: 24.89%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.02. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.00, con un valor esperado de -0.453%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -0.969%E -0.167%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.92%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -1.82%E -0.317%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -2.33%E -0.408%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -8.42%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.66%EV -2.68%E -0.469%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -0.453%E -0.113%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -11.20%E -7.32%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -6.94%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.25%EV -7.72%E -4.85%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -7.80%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -10.04%E -6.48%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.62%EV -5.40%E -3.31%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.56%E -4.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.63%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.88%E -5.66%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.33%EV -17.19%E -3.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.27%EV -8.30%E -5.25%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.90%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |