Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.90
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 3.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 26.19%; Bromley FC (Visit): 46.40%; Draw: 27.41%. For Newport County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +2.12%E +0.544%K +0.732%G +0.016% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -14.62%E -7.94%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.72%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -6.53%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.82%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -6.78%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 19:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19% | 2.2% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |