L’École des cotes

Newport County v Bromley FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newport County (Local)

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV +2.12%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.732%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.88%26.11%26.12%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.643.603.9030.30%27.51%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bromley FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.40%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%46.54%46.36%50.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.941.982.0555.25%51.42%50.51%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%27.34%27.52%28.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.5533.33%29.35%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +2.12%E +0.544%K +0.732%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -14.62%E -7.94%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:15
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:15
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:15
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.72%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -6.53%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:15
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:20
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:25
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.82%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:10
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -6.78%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:15
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:15
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:20
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:15
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:25
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:11
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:25
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-17 19:25
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:15
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:15
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-17 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-03-17 19:20