La escuela de los momios

Newport County v Bromley FC

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Newport County (Local)

Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.732%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.88%26.11%26.12%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.643.603.9030.30%27.51%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bromley FC (Visitante)

Predicción 46.40%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%46.54%46.36%50.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.941.982.0555.25%51.42%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%27.34%27.52%28.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.5533.33%29.35%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +2.12%E +0.544%K +0.732%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.09%EV -14.62%E -7.94%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +0.813%E +0.211%K +0.285%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:15
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:15
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.497%E -0.131%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -16.01%E -8.84%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -1.81%E -0.482%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:05
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:15
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.12%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:15
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.72%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -6.53%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:15
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:20
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:25
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.82%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:10
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -6.78%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -2.69%E -0.758%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:15
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:15
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:20
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:15
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:25
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.43%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:11
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:25
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-17 19:25
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:15
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:15
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-17 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%2.2%2026-03-17 19:20