Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Harrogate Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -11.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.87%67.08%67.10%68.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.86%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harrogate Town (Visit)
Prediction 12.71%7.87fair odd
EV +8.01%
Edge +0.942%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.085%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.94%12.69%12.53%14.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.377.508.5015.38%13.57%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.28%4.93fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.279%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.55%20.23%20.37%22.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.574.605.0025.00%21.88%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 67.01%; Harrogate Town (Visit): 12.71%; Draw: 20.28%. For Harrogate Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.87. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +8.01%E +0.942%K +1.07%G +0.085% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -10.20%E -7.61%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.384%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.384%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.84%E -3.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.48%EV -3.05%E -0.399%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.36%EV -3.94%E -0.521%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -11.38%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.68%E -0.774%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:52 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.69%E -0.998%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.87%E -8.17%K -32.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.12%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -5.97%E -0.807%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.73%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.13%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 12.99%EV -9.40%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.88%EV -5.50%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.13%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 12.99%EV -9.40%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.88%EV -5.50%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -3.68%E -0.774%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -4.69%E -0.998%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -16.86%E -4.11%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.19%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.87%E -8.17%K -32.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.57%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -13.59%E -2.00%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.41%E -2.68%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.47% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |