L’École des cotes

Milton Keynes Dons v Harrogate Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prévision 67.01%1.49cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -3.41%
Kelly -11.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.87%67.08%67.10%68.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.86%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Harrogate Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.71%7.87cote équitable
EV +8.01%
Avantage +0.942%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.94%12.69%12.53%14.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.377.508.5015.38%13.57%13.33%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.28%4.93cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.349%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.55%20.23%20.37%22.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.574.605.0025.00%21.88%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +8.01%E +0.942%K +1.07%G +0.085%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:58
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -10.20%E -7.61%K -30.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:59
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.384%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:59
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.384%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.84%E -3.41%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.48%EV -3.05%E -0.399%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:59
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.36%EV -3.94%E -0.521%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -11.38%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005%4.8%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 15:00
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.68%E -0.774%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:52
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.69%E -0.998%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:00
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:00
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.87%E -8.17%K -32.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.12%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -5.97%E -0.807%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.73%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:59
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.13%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 12.99%EV -9.40%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.88%EV -5.50%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.13%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 12.99%EV -9.40%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 19.88%EV -5.50%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005%5.7%2026-03-07 15:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005%7.8%2026-03-07 14:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005%7.8%2026-03-07 15:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:59
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -3.68%E -0.774%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 15:00
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 15:00
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -4.69%E -0.998%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:59
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -16.86%E -4.11%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.19%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 14:59
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.87%E -8.17%K -32.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:59
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.57%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -13.59%E -2.00%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 15:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.41%E -2.68%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-03-07 15:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%2.1%2026-03-07 15:00