La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Milton Keynes Dons v Harrogate Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Predicción 67.01%1.49momio equitativo
EV -4.84%
Ventaja -3.41%
Kelly -11.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.87%67.08%67.10%68.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.361.4275.19%72.86%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Harrogate Town (Visitante)
Predicción 12.71%7.87momio equitativo
EV +8.01%
Ventaja +0.942%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.085%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.94%12.69%12.53%14.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.377.508.5015.38%13.57%13.33%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.28%4.93momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.279%
Kelly +0.349%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.55%20.23%20.37%22.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.574.605.0025.00%21.88%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV +8.01%E +0.942%K +1.07%G +0.085% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -10.20%E -7.61%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +1.65%E +0.207%K +0.236%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.384%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.384%E +0.049%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.84%E -3.41%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.48%EV -3.05%E -0.399%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.36%EV -3.94%E -0.521%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -11.38%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -3.68%E -0.774%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:52 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.69%E -0.998%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -9.53%E -7.06%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -10.87%E -8.17%K -32.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -4.70%E -0.627%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.12%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -5.97%E -0.807%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -7.73%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.13%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 12.99%EV -9.40%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.88%EV -5.50%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.13%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 12.99%EV -9.40%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.88%EV -5.50%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.39%E +0.279%K +0.349%G +0.005% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -3.68%E -0.774%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -7.52%E -5.45%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -4.69%E -0.998%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -16.86%E -4.11%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.19%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.87%E -8.17%K -32.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.05%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -6.72%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.57%EV -8.86%E -6.52%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -13.59%E -2.00%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.18%E -4.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.41%E -2.68%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.74%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.79% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.47% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |