Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 56.08%1.78fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.58%56.08%56.07%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.7062.11%60.05%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 18.60%5.38fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.414%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.94%18.60%18.63%20.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.855.005.5022.22%20.60%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.426%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.32%25.30%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.62%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 56.08%; Colchester United (Visit): 18.60%; Draw: 25.32%. For Colchester United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +2.28%E +0.414%K +0.506%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.12%EV -2.19%E -0.416%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.77%E -0.991%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.30%E -0.635%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -6.46%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.95%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.95%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 19:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.74%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-18 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -18.96%E -5.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-18 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.05% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-03-18 19:50 |