مدرسة الاحتمالات

Milton Keynes Dons v Colchester United

البداية: 2026-03-18 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.08%1.78السعر العادل
EV -4.66%
الأفضلية -2.74%
Kelly -6.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.58%56.08%56.07%57.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.671.671.7062.11%60.05%59.88%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Colchester United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.60%5.38السعر العادل
EV +2.28%
الأفضلية +0.414%
Kelly +0.506%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.94%18.60%18.63%20.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.855.005.5022.22%20.60%20.00%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.32%3.95السعر العادل
EV -1.23%
الأفضلية -0.316%
Kelly -0.426%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.36%25.32%25.30%27.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.62%27.78%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +2.28%E +0.414%K +0.506%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 19:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.12%EV -2.19%E -0.416%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 18:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 18:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.77%E -0.991%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.30%E -0.635%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 19:40
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -6.46%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 19:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 19:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:25
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:25
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 19:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 19:55
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 19:55
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 19:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 18:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 18:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 19:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.95%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:30
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.95%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:35
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 19:45
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 19:00
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 19:25
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.74%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 18:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 19:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 18:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 19:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 20:25
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -18.96%E -5.93%K -8.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-18 19:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-18 19:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-03-18 19:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.05%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-03-18 19:50