L’École des cotes

Milton Keynes Dons v Colchester United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prévision 56.08%1.78cote équitable
EV -4.66%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -6.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.58%56.08%56.07%57.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.671.671.7062.11%60.05%59.88%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Colchester United (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.60%5.38cote équitable
EV +2.28%
Avantage +0.414%
Kelly +0.506%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.94%18.60%18.63%20.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.855.005.5022.22%20.60%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.426%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.36%25.32%25.30%27.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.62%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +2.28%E +0.414%K +0.506%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 19:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.73%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.12%EV -2.19%E -0.416%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 18:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 18:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.37%E -0.452%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.77%E -0.991%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.30%E -0.635%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 19:40
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -6.46%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -5.79%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 19:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 19:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:25
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:25
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 19:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 19:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 19:55
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-18 19:55
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 19:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 18:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 18:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.02%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 19:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.95%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:30
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.95%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 19:35
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.79%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 19:45
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.57%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 19:00
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.88%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 19:25
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.74%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 18:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 19:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 18:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.67%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 19:35
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 53.86%EV -4.66%E -2.74%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 20:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 20:25
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.79%E -3.44%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.32%E -3.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -18.96%E -5.93%K -8.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-18 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-18 19:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-03-18 19:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.05%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-03-18 19:50