Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Barnet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 49.48%2.02fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%49.60%49.34%51.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.851.9356.50%54.10%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnet (Visit)
Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV +0.557%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.84%24.01%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.913.904.2027.40%25.59%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.616%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.56%26.65%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.64%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 49.48%; Barnet (Visit): 23.94%; Draw: 26.58%. For Barnet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.557%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.557%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +0.557%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.97%E -4.28%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 07:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 07:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -2.46%E -0.671%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 12:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.61%E -3.46%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |