La escuela de los momios

Milton Keynes Dons v Barnet

Inicio: 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Predicción 49.48%2.02momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.16%49.60%49.34%51.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.851.851.9356.50%54.10%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnet (Visitante)

Predicción 23.94%4.18momio equitativo
EV +0.557%
Ventaja +0.133%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.87%23.84%24.01%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.913.904.2027.40%25.59%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.450%
Kelly -0.616%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.12%26.56%26.65%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.64%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.557%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +0.557%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 10:45
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:05
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 12:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 10:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 12:20
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 11:39
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:16
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.97%E -4.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:19
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 07:34
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 07:35
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 07:35
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -2.46%E -0.671%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:19
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:04
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:25
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:19
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 08:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.61%E -3.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-03-21 12:25