L’École des cotes

Milton Keynes Dons v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prévision 49.48%2.02cote équitable
EV -4.50%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -4.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.16%49.60%49.34%51.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.851.851.9356.50%54.10%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.94%4.18cote équitable
EV +0.557%
Avantage +0.133%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%23.84%24.01%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.913.904.2027.40%25.59%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.616%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%26.56%26.65%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.64%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.557%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.42%E -7.02%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +0.557%E +0.133%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 10:45
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:05
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 12:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 10:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 12:20
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 11:39
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 07:35
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:16
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.43%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.97%E -4.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:19
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 07:34
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 07:35
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.92%E -6.70%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.63%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 07:35
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.50%E -2.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -2.46%E -0.671%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -5.99%E -3.15%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:19
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:04
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.47%E -4.00%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 12:25
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.02%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.45%E -5.16%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:19
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.57%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.94%E -6.08%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -10.22%E -2.72%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 08:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.00%E -2.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:25
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -6.98%E -3.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.61%E -3.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-03-21 12:25
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-03-21 12:25