Language:English
Harrogate Town v Barnet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harrogate Town (Local)
Prediction 34.40%2.91fair odd
EV -0.941%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.68%34.44%34.27%37.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.642.652.8840.32%37.82%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnet (Visit)
Prediction 39.07%2.56fair odd
EV -0.378%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.244%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%39.05%39.09%40.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.402.5547.62%41.59%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV -0.486%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.51%26.64%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.453.7532.26%28.78%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harrogate Town (Local): 34.40%; Barnet (Visit): 39.07%; Draw: 26.54%. For Barnet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.378%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -0.941%E -0.327%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.80%E -3.31%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -9.36%E -4.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -9.36%E -4.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.38%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -8.97%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -4.72%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.93%E -4.79%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.10%E -5.38%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.81%E -0.490%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 08:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.19%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.96%E -8.55%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.30%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.35%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -0.486%E -0.130%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -14.05%E -6.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.19%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |