L’École des cotes

Harrogate Town v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Harrogate Town 1–2 Barnet

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Harrogate Town (Local)

Prévision 34.40%2.91cote équitable
EV -0.941%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.500%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.68%34.44%34.27%37.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.642.652.8840.32%37.82%37.74%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.07%2.56cote équitable
EV -0.378%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.244%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.99%39.05%39.09%40.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.402.402.5547.62%41.59%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.54%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.486%
Avantage -0.130%
Kelly -0.177%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.04%26.51%26.64%27.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.453.7532.26%28.78%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -0.941%E -0.327%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.80%E -3.31%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -9.36%E -4.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -9.36%E -4.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:54
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.38%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -8.97%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -4.72%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:40
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:55
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.93%E -4.79%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.10%E -5.38%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.81%E -0.490%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:54
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 08:24
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 08:21
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:49
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.19%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.96%E -8.55%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:38
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:35
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.30%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.35%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -0.486%E -0.130%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -14.05%E -6.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:54
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:35
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.19%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%3.1%2026-05-02 13:55